As at 30th May 2008
  Key articles from Variance Capital's latest monthly newsletters


May 2008

- Hedge fund blow-ups
- Chinese slowdown
- Snapshot of the bank loan market
- Amethyst arbitrage fund: thoughts on the Canadian converts and merger arbitrage markets

April 2008

- Long short ideas in the European banking sector
- Hedge Funds: Prospects and Perspective
- The long short of it

February 2008
- Can activists take over from where big cap private equity left off?
- The CDS primer


January 2008

- The outlook for credit managers and the distressed cycle
- January in review
- Convertible arbitrageurs should do well in a volatile market

December 2007
- Allocating to Hedge Funds: Learning to Love “Frontier Beta” and Why Small is Beautiful
- There is value in the bank loan market.
- Pro value, anti bubble. The impact of the US slowdown on its trading partners.
- The pricing of portfolio insurance products
- Gavekal comment on the rise of the Chinese RMB.


October 2007

- The case for converts
- Of Greeks and Men
- The second wave

September 2007
-View from the battlefield
-Have GTAAs fulfilled their promise?
-The European credit market
-Shorting Japan between now and March ’08 is a dangerous proposition by Gavekal research
-Oil, OPEC and the US dollar by Gavekal research

August 2007
-The Asian financial crisis: 10 years later.
-Credit may not be as dirty a word as you think.
-Volatility hedges have performed well for investors since the beginning of the year.
-Three Reasons Why This Liquidity Crisis Was Special and the fear of downgrades.
-Using CFTC Data to judge oil of price direction.

June 2007
-Of bubbles and men: why the run up in Chinese asset prices is nothing new
-Canadian high yield investing
-The Amida Partners Master Fund Ltd: a Global Relative Value strategy
-The Swisscanto Total Return Fund
-Gavekal re-examine the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates

March 2007

- There’s more to Russia than the energy sector.
- The Arundel Emerging Managers Fund.
- Film finance as an additional source of alpha.
- Snapshot on the markets: Gavekal’s Five Corners

February 2007

Hedge funds competing head to head with buyout firms.
- The sheer size of capital available for private deals is affecting public markets.
- The current sell-off in global markets.

January 2007

- Introduction to Commodity hedge Funds.
- China in 2007: More of the same.
- Attractive levels to purchase volatility on the Collar - Yen.

November 2006

- The absence of forced sellers should keep volatility at bay.
-
The end of central banks role in stabilizing asset prices?
- Volatility Insurance Program.
Back to Top

October 2006

- Rethinking the way we look at risk.
- Hedge fund life cycles.
- The Amethyst Canadian dual-arbitrage fund.

September 2006

- Losses at Amaranth boost the value proposition of FoHFs.
- Positive carry on portfolio insurance.
- Prosperity Capital's latest investor trip to Russia.

July - August 2006

- Recent developments and impacts on the GaveKal Investment Scenario.
- VPPP: a tool of empower single managers.
- Finding alpha through credit strategies.

June 2006

- BOJ's role in supporting asset prices.
- The Yen carry trade.
- Is it time to go short European credit ? 
Back to Top

May 2006

- China: seperating myth from reality.
- Russia: a buying opportunity.
- May: a perfect storm for CTAs.

April 2006

- Shell Cove: portfolio insurance without the negative carry.
- Recent SEC registration requirements and their impact.
- Investors should revisit their exposure to commodity index funds.

February - March 2006

- Key High Yield market drivers.
- Market neutral approach for European credit investors.
- Delphi and the credit derivatives market.

January 2006

- The Canadian mining cycle.
- Risks to the Russian scenario.
- VCM index - Performance comparison : Monthly data (US Dollar) from 01/31/1999 to 12/31/2005.
- FRM outlook for 2006.
Back to Top

December 2005

- Two FoF managers' observations on what lies ahead.
- Japan's structural recovery.
- Thoughts on the current environment for volatility.
- Interview with Vertus Capital.

November 2005

- EMBIG spreads and the rise in US Treasury yields.
- Relative Value opportunities in '06 : the bull case for emerging markets.
- On Russia, Greater China and Turkey.

October 2005

- Insights on the near term correlation between hedge funds in a FoF portfolio.
- Long Short returns scruntinized.
- Global macro and Tactical Asset Allocators: are they created equal?

September 2005

- Franco-Canadian hedge fund conference in Paris : a resoundig success.
- The Housing Bubble : what could trigger its burst and what hedge funds can do about it.
- LBO risk in the credit market.
- The Ultimate commodity: WATER
Back to Top

July - August 2005

- Capital Structure Arbitrage funds: what happened to the Next Big Thing?
- CTAs and Statistical Arbitrage funds: do they complement each other?
- Bullish on Japan: how to play it?

June 2005

- Valuable opportunities for foreign HF investors in Canada
- Canadian equity market inefficiencies
- Leveraged liquidation is bigger than Russian default

May 2005

- Poor Hedge Fund performance: A preliminary explanation
- A "perfect strorm" awaiting? General Motors Case Study
- A look at the USD situation and what to do with Convertible Arbitrage

April 2005

- Event related public-to-private transactions
- Dangers of going short for L/S equity managers
- A look at Turkey, the Northbay Fund and Copper market

March 2005 - Special Edition

- General Motors and the Credit Markets - Overview, the players, equity impact

January 2005

- Hedge fund outlook for 2005 - More of the same?
- Predictions on high yield markets
- Embedded risk for fund of funds investorsBack to Top


December 2004

- Use of leverage for HF portfolios
- Is convertible arbitrage going the way of the Dodo?
- New hedge fund trends ?

November 2004

- Are client's looking for directional strategies in low return environment?
- Stand-alone HF's vs. traditional asset managers - growing desire of AM companies to capitalise on HF growth
- Bigger is better - A Case for Winton Capital
- Changes in the French HF regulatory environment

October 2004

- Portable Alpha: definitions and optimal use
- Manager due-diligence: distinguishing between alpha, beta and luck !
- Are poor HF returns related to excessive inflows?

September 2004

- Rationale for 3F funds
- Advantages of small to medium FoF
- Are credit spreads artificially low?
Back to Top


August 2004


- A difficult time for funds of funds
- What to do with Long/Shorts ?
- The case for Vega

July 2004

- RMF loses large client
- What are the opportunities for convertible ARB going forward ?
- CTAs in a perfect storm

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